How the Clue Score is made

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The rules that apply to every pillar

  • Each check scores 0 to 10 against fixed thresholds, the same for every company.
  • A pillar is the average of its checks that could be worked out. A figure a company does not file drops its check out; it never counts as zero.
  • The score is the weighted average of the pillars, rescaled over the pillars that could be worked out. With fewer than three there is no score.
  • No insider activity is neutral, 5 out of 10. Most companies see no open-market buying for months, and silence says nothing either way. Scheduled 10b5-1 sales count for nothing.
  • It says nothing about the price. An excellent business that is expensive scores the same as the same business at half the price. That is deliberate, and it is why this is not a buy or sell signal.

Profitability

Weight 30 of 100

Does the business earn money on the capital it uses, and does it keep doing so?

CheckWhat it measuresHow it scores threshold, then points out of 10
Net margin Net income over revenue, latest year
20%+ 10 15%+ 8 10%+ 6 5%+ 4 0%+ 2 Loss 0
Return on equity Net income over shareholders' equity
20%+ 10 15%+ 8 10%+ 6 5%+ 4 0%+ 2 Loss 0
Return on invested capital EBITDA over debt plus equity
20%+ 10 15%+ 8 10%+ 6 5%+ 4 0%+ 2 Loss 0

Runs a little high, because EBITDA adds back depreciation.

Free cash flow margin Operating cash flow less capital spending, over revenue
15%+ 10 10%+ 8 5%+ 6 0%+ 3 Negative 0
Profitable years Share of the fiscal years on file with a net profit
All 10 Three in four 7.5 Half 5 One in four 2.5 None 0

The share of profitable years, out of 10.

Margin trend Latest net margin against the average of the years before
Rising 10 Slipping under 2 pts 5 Falling more 0

Financial strength

Weight 25 of 100

Could it get through two bad years without having to raise money?

CheckWhat it measuresHow it scores threshold, then points out of 10
Cash to debt Cash and equivalents over total debt
1x+ 10 0.5x+ 7.5 0.25x+ 5 0.1x+ 2.5 Less 0

No debt at all scores 10.

Equity to assets Shareholders' equity over total assets
0.6+ 10 0.45+ 7.5 0.3+ 5 0.15+ 2.5 Less 0
Debt to EBITDA Years of operating earnings needed to repay the debt
1x or less 10 2x 7.5 3x 5 4x 2.5 Over 4x 0
Quality signals Seven of Piotroski's nine: profit, operating cash flow, cash flow above profit, return on assets up, debt down, turnover up, no dilution
7 of 7 10 5 of 7 7.1 3 of 7 4.3 1 of 7 1.4 None 0

Signals passed out of 7, scaled to 10.

Growth

Weight 25 of 100

Is it getting bigger, and is it still?

CheckWhat it measuresHow it scores threshold, then points out of 10
Revenue growth Compound yearly growth over up to five years
20%+ 10 15%+ 8.5 10%+ 7 5%+ 5 0%+ 2.5 Shrinking 0

A year.

Revenue growth, 3 years The last three years alone
20%+ 10 15%+ 8.5 10%+ 7 5%+ 5 0%+ 2.5 Shrinking 0

Catches a slowdown the longer figure hides.

EBITDA growth Compound yearly growth in operating earnings before depreciation
20%+ 10 15%+ 8.5 10%+ 7 5%+ 5 0%+ 2.5 Shrinking 0
EPS growth Compound yearly growth in diluted earnings per share
20%+ 10 15%+ 8.5 10%+ 7 5%+ 5 0%+ 2.5 Shrinking 0
FCF per share growth Compound yearly growth in free cash flow per share
20%+ 10 15%+ 8.5 10%+ 7 5%+ 5 0%+ 2.5 Shrinking 0

Insiders

Weight 20 of 100

What are the people running it doing with their own money? This pillar is InsiderClue's own.

CheckWhat it measuresHow it scores threshold, then points out of 10
Insiders buying Different officers and directors who bought on the open market in twelve months
Three or more 10 Two 8.5 One 7
Largest buy, of own stake The biggest purchase against what that person already held
50%+ 10 20%+ 8 5%+ 6 Less 5
Cluster buy Three or more insiders bought within thirty days
Yes 10

Counts only when it happened.

Largest sale at will The biggest unscheduled sale against what that person held
Up to 5% 4.5 Up to 20% 3.5 Up to 50% 2 More 0

Scheduled 10b5-1 sales count for nothing.

What it does not cover

  • Valuation. There is no price in the score at all; see above.
  • Banks, insurers and REITs are scored like everyone else, and debt and cash flow mean something different for them. Read their scores with that in mind.
  • Sectors are read off the SEC's own industry code, not a proprietary classification.

The method follows the score of a separate research tool, check for check, with its valuation and momentum pillars left out and the insider pillar added. It is recalculated after each refresh.